Financial Quantitative Methods

Profit Probability

  1. Actual Profits
 RevenueExpensesActual ProfitsBudgeted Profits
2013₤ 316,449,668.60₤ 313,395,191.59₤ 3,054,477,.01₤ 3,046,000.00
2014₤ 354,423,628.83₤ 344,734,710.74₤ 9,688,918,09₤ 9,561,000.00
2015₤ 396,954,464.29₤ 379,208,181.82₤ 17,746,282.47₤ 18,155,000.00
  • Likely Profits
 Budgeted RevenueBudgeted ExpensesLikely Profits
2016₤ 436,447,382.93₤ 411,592,351.61₤ 24,855,031.32
  • The law of probability

The probability is equal to the number of ways a particular event could occur, rather than a public event, and divided by the total number of possible events. In other words, probability measures the likelihood of an event occurring.

How to calculate profit

Part 1

  1. The equation to calculate the profit

Total Revenue – (Cost of goods sold + Operation expenses) = Profit

  • How many pushchairs does John need to sell to break even?

Pushchair = Y

Total Earning = Total Cost

         ₤ 450 x Y = ₤ 350 x Y + ₤ 800

Y= 8 (= 8 pushchairs)

  • Profit/Loss

Profit = ₤ 450 x 23 – (₤350 x 23 + ₤ 800)

                   = 10,350 – (8,050 + 800)

                   = 10,350 – 8,850

                   =1,500 (= ₤ 1,500) Profit

Part 2

  • The equation to calculate the profit

Total Revenue – (Cost of goods sold + Operation expenses) = Profit

  • How many items does Hector need to sell to break even?

Y = Quantity

Total Earning = Total Cost

₤ 1 x Y = ₤ 0.90 x Y + ₤ 2000

0.1Y = 2000

Y = 20,000

  • Profit/Loss

Profit = ₤ 1 x 15000 – (₤ 0.90 x 15000 + 2000)

                       = 15,000 – (13,500 + 2,000)

                       = 500 (= ₤ 500) Loss

What is Maximum Profit?

Part 1

  1. Maximum Profit

Companies need to estimate or be aware of the cost and number of profits, product sales, and business profits at various price levels to achieve maximum profit.

Price and profit for the fee ranging from ₤ 15 to ₤ 3

TimeSelling QuantitySelling PriceCost of TRevenueThe total cost of TProfit/lost
10:000154.5067.5-79.4
11:0015144.521063135.1
12:0030134.539058.5319.6
13:0045124.554054474.1
14:0060114.566049.5598.6
15:0075104.575045693.1
16:009094.581040.5757.6
17:0010584.584036792.1
18:0012074.584031.5796.6
19:0013564.581027771.1
20:0015054.521022.5715.6
  • A Graph to present the profit
  • Maximum possible profit / Selling price

Maximum profit: ₤ 808.50

Selling Price for the maximum profit: ₤ 7

Part 2

  1. Price and profit/loss
PriceAmount soldCost of CherriesTotal RevenueTotal CostProfit
4200.65801367
3600.6518039141
2.5800.6520052148
21000.6520065135
1.51200.6518078102
11400.651409149
  • Price and profit/loss
  • Optimal Selling Price

Optimal selling price: 2.5

References

By Heon Jeong Yi

She is a student of Concordia International University student.

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